My focus on laying very short priced favourites ( 1.05 and lower) paid off in the Samoa v Russia match. Samoa’s odds of 1.03 rose to 1.4 in-play allowing a nice cash out. 2 Samoans yellow carded in the first half helped the odds!
Russia did take the lead v Japan but were eventually pegged back.
Fiji led at halftime v Australia but Australia eventually won with ease.
I need a few more Samoa yellow card type opportunities in order to really cash in.
An angle for a Friday…
It seems that Dundalk’s Friday racing program has re-commenced tonight.
Here’s an interesting angle for you.
Did you know that , in the last 10 years, backing top weights in handicaps when they are favourites has made a 66 point profit.
13 and 14 runner races have seen the largest proportion of the profit.
I thought I would look at all all-weather courses, including Dundalk, backing 1st favourites when they are top weighted and see a 109 points profit to Betfair SP.
Focus predominantly on Dundalk, Wolverhampton, Kempton and Chelmsford as the 3 big profit makers to Betfair SP.
13 and 14 runner races stand out again with a total 172 points profit backing 1st favourites when top weights.
Horses draws in stalls 10-5-11 -3 have made a total 230 points profit.
Something to work with here?
Backing favourites when they are top weights in handicaps on the all-weather. Watch out for possible qualifiers this evening at Dundalk. The top weight is easily distinguished -they are usually the first horse in the race card. Look for the WGT column.
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