I thought I would look at the performance of favourites during November and December , for the last 10 years, in Class 1-2-3, Group 1-2-3 and listed hurdle and chase races.
There are so many of these top quality jumps races during these latter 2 months.
Laying favourites in these races turned a 36 points profit over distances of 2 miles.
A near 50% strike rate for backers at Fairyhouse at this time of year sees a 22 points profit to Betfair SP ( BSP) and 31% Return on Investment (ROI).
Aintree sees a 17 point profit to BSP and 61% ROI.
The worst performing favourites in these quality jumps races came at Cheltenham, Navan and Sandown with a combined 48 points profit laying favourites at these venues.
If we focus on our pace characteristics (www.racingtv.com race cards -Timeform Pacemap will identify these), favourites as leaders have turned a 42 points profit to BSP and 17% ROI.
51 points profit to layers of favourites characterised as Hold up horses.
2 mile races stands out for me for laying favourites this November and December in these top quality races.
At www.racingpost.com, click on Cards and Expand All. Then you can check the race type that way. Alternately, click on Big race entries to get a list of high quality upcoming races.