The Flat Classics begin.

The 2000 Guineas at Newmarket kicks off on Saturday and the 1000 Guineas on Sunday.

In races of this importance.

Let’s take a look at the strongest trends for each of these races in what is a sumptuous weekend of racing ( with high class flat racing at Goodwood, and top grade racing at Punchestown).

The 2,000 Guineas

All of the last 17 winners finished in the top 3 last time out. So, in the form column, look for the number 1,2,3 in the most recent race.

15 of the last 17 winners had previously won over at least 7 furlongs ( the 2000 guineas is a 1 mile ( 8 furlong) race.

15 of the last 17 winners had won at group level before and had notched up between 2-5 wins in all race types previously.

15 of the last 17 winners came from stall 12 or lower. And 6 of the last 9 winners came from stall6 6 or lower. That’s is some recent trend. Stalls 1-6 sees madhoom, Emaaraty Ana, Skardu, Set Piece, Ten Sovereigns and Great Scot. It is Ten Sovereigns who would catch my eye as an Aidan O’Brien trained horse ( won the last 3 runnings quite apart from being a multiple 2000 guineas winning trainer)

Ten Sovereigns as I say would be a tentative each-way pick. Within the top 6 stalls, Aidan O’Brien trained, 3 consecutive wins.

1000 guineas

15 of the last 17 winners of Sunday’s 1000 guineas came 1st, 2nd or 3rd last time out.

7 of the last 12 winners won on their last start.

8 of the last 12 winners ran in the last 31 days.

The last 3 winners all came from either stall 7 or stall 8. That may just be an anomaly.

There are no other absolutely outstanding trends.

Aidan O’Brien is nowhere near as prolific in the 1000 guineas . That said, he did win the race in 2016 and 2017 and his usual first choice jockey Ryan Moore did win in 2012, 2015 and 2016.

I don’t have any stall data at current time of writing but stalls 7 and 8 may get a look in on Sunday once the information is known, particularly if their incumbents finished in the top 3 last time out and won their last start , running not more than 31 days ago.

Good luck with your selections. 

The post The Flat Classics begin. appeared first on What Really Wins Money.

This article first appeared on Bulletin | What Really Wins Money. Read more and comment here