With Irish Racing an almost daily occurrence , I thought I would look at the stats for favourites over the Jumps in Ireland , over different criteria. I will list the most eyecatching stats over the last 5 years.
- Laying favourites in Ireland over the Jumps turned a 76 point profit to level stakes.
- 3 mile and 5 furlong races don’t run that often but when they do, backing favourites turned a 21 point profit to Betfair SP with a 139% Return on Investment.
- Backing jumps favourites in listed and mares races in Ireland turned a total 47 points profit. Not astounding but this information might make you think twice about these 2 race types.
- Favourite backers over the jumps in Ireland check out 11, 18 and 14 runner races with 50, 37 and 27 points profit to Betfair SP.
- Laying favourites in Ireland in 15 and 16 runner races has made 106 points profit in total.
- Laying favourites wearing blinkers and cheekpieces turned a combined 85 points profit over the jumps in Ireland. You will see these annotated as p and b in your race card.
- Laying favourites coming off the back of an 8-14 day absence turned a 58 point profit. The race card will indicate the days since last run.
- Trainers to watch over the jumps when their horses are favourites includes Henry De Bromhead, Gavin Cromwell , and Liam P Cusack. James Joseph Mangan, Denis Gerard Hogan and J R Barry are 3 trainers whose favourites are more layable than backable over the jumps.
I hope these stats can give you a better focus this Irish Jumps season, as regards favourites. A bias towards the layer alas.
If you want to be a favourite backer in Ireland over the jumps, focus on the big prices. For example, backing horses at odds of 10/1 or higher in Class 1 and 5 races turned a 748 and 485 points profit.
Nearly 1000 points profit in the last 5 years laying in Class 4 races.
And over 1000 points profit backing 10/1 or greater horses over the jumps in Ireland in 2 mile and 4 furlong races! A 2.71 point strike rate though means you have to have the financial clout of Jeff Bezos in order to ride the losing runs!
With this in mind, I think it’s worth investigating further. Can we find a way to profit from this information without excessive losing runs? I’ll be looking at race courses, number of runners and more and if I find the formula, I’ll let you know!
And over the the football….Goals galore….so far…
There has been no 0-0 yet in the English Premier League…so far.
If this continues, lay any 0-0 in the second half, or as late as possible!
Talking of goal fests, did you take action in the Boing Boing Boing match of last weekend? West Brom led 3-0 v Chelsea at halftime.
Did you do anything about it?
With in running betting available, you had a variety of options such as
- Laying West Brom at 1.16 decimal odds
- Back Chelsea at 16/1 to win the match.
Final Score? 3-3. I went for the latter option and was a goal away from a very nice payout.
Please watch out for this type of match. West Brom conceded 8 goals in their previous 2 matches so this low risk play was a great option.