I did receive some questioning emails this week in answer to my eletter last week. I really don’t understand objections to backing horses based on their odds, particularly in an 8 runner race where we can narrow down the likely winners by logically excluding 2/3 ( or more) outsiders.
I’m keeping a track of qualifying bets and hope, in time, to prove the naysayers wrong!
We have seen a consistent pattern with strategies mentioned in recent eletters as regards pace abbreviations. Leaders have tended to really show themselves strongly.
We concluded that www.racingtv.com was the best free resource in determining ‘leaders’
Here’s a reminder of what we want to see of an 8/1 horse in an 8 runner race. The screenshot below shows the leader as being the horse who falls under number 1 ( such as Dubai Paradise below).
Onto this weekend and Ascot dominates proceedings.
If you’re a favourite backer in Ascot in July, then 10 runner races have seen favourites win 4 of the last 5 races. Watch out for those today, and over the weekend.
If any favourite is wearing sheepskin cheekpieces, back them each way.8 qualifiers last 10 year, only 1 of these qualifiers failed to place. 2nd and 1st in 2018 and 2019.
You’ll be able to find headgear next to the horse’s name within the race card at www.racingpost.com. Look out for a ‘p’ for the favourite. It will be quick to determined.
And one last mention…trainer Mark Johnston, when his horses are favourites at Ascot in July, has a recent record of 1-1-1-2-1-3-1-3-1. Talk about consistent.
And before I go….the football season-proper will be with us next weekend with the kick off of the English leagues ( other than the Premiership) so next week’s eletter will have a football focus .