How to find a good angle in with football trading…

Calling all the traders!

Are you interested in sports trading? By sports trading I mean the kind of trading we do on Betfair and I do at www.drt.club.

You see, I am so busy with www.drt.club: I have begun broadcasting live sessions mid week via Twitter, so I am unable to follow the sports trading services that I want to review for my newsletter What Really Wins Money.

If you have an interest in horse racing or football, specifically from a trading perspective, email me at whatreallywins@yahoo.co.uk with reasons why I can trust you to review the four or so trading services I have ready to review.

We’re some six matches into the Premiership season and patterns and sequences are beginning to unravel. If you can crack the sequences you can get a good angle into a match. I have gone in depth into this in my weekly football trading eletter. Here’s a good example for you…

West Brom – Four clean sheets in their last five matches – three consecutive away Under 1.5 Goals matches and clean sheets.

Look who’s clicked into gear! This is the clear influence of manager Tony Pulis, who is renowned for a sturdy defence. What would you expect now from West Brom, based on these early patterns? How would this knowledge influence your decision making?

Leicester City – have scored and conceded in all matches, unbeaten and two consecutive matches saw them 2-0 down and not lose.

Leicester are in stark contrast to West Brom. Knowing what we know about Leicester City, we expect goals don’t we? How does this knowledge translate into your decision making? Think goals before halftime (lay the 0-0 halftime score). Think Over 2.5 Goals. Lay any side leading 2-0 in a Leicester City match.

If I have time I will work on these patterns and sequences for all major European leagues and let you know the key patterns.

These sequences and patterns are great eye-openers as to the characteristic of a team.

What do Aston Villa, Stoke City, Newcastle United and Sunderland have in common? They are yet to win a match. This cannot continue, can it? How is this information useful? What if these teams meet each other and still have not won a match? Can we take a chance and logically lay the draw in the hope one of them ends their sequence without a win?

There’s an excellent race card at Newmarket tomorrow and I’ll take a quick look through the card. The Betting Forecast is available early for this meeting.

155 Newmarket Saturday 25th September 2015

A ten-runner listed race, so think each way betting. The four previous runnings of this race saw the favourites lose. Will that continue? Lavender Lane is the Betting Forecast favourite.

As this looks an open race, I would consider Muffri ‘ha and Light and Shade each way. A two-horse assault for me.

230 Newmarket Saturday 25th September 2015

This is a currently 12-runner listed race. Three favourites have won in the last four races. Journey is the Betting Forecast favourite. It is worth checking the market though for the favourite. There does not tend to be a surprise in the betting. Only two winners over 7/1 in the last 10 years, so look for horses 7/1 and under and do utilise each way betting for these competitive races, so that we can take advantage of any place only payouts.

Sir Michael Stoute has won this race twice recently with favourites. If his Asyad is favourite, back it.

305 Newmarket Saturday 25th September 2015

A seven-runner group 2 for the fillies. So put the blinkers on them if there’s a handbag or shoe shop near the start.

The last five winners have been at odds of 5/1 and under. Will the market for this two-year-old race continue to be accurate?

The Betting Forecast shows 7/4 Hawksmoor, 7/2 Doubly Motivated and 4/1 Promising Run as the horses under 5/1. If that is mirrored in the betting market, then these three horses are the ones shortlisted. There have only been two winning favourites in ten years: one came last year.
Again, if your shortlist includes any horse 11/4 or higher, you can back each way, although with seven runners we are only playing for two places.

340 Newmarket Saturday 25th September 2015

This is a four-runner Group 2 race and looks a two-horse race between Time Test and Custom Cut. Custom Cut actually won this race last year at odds of 15/2. Take the hint? Or is it difficult for a horse to win two consecutive Group 2 races?

415 Newmarket Saturday 25th September 2015

A potential 16-runner two-year-old race. Understandably there has been only one winning favourite in the last six runnings. Such a competitive race makes it tough to call. I note Sir Michael Stoute is a three-time winner. He runs Shabaab and Fidaawy and I would back these horses each-way.

450 Newmarket Saturday 25th September 2015

A seven-runner listed race and it would seem a three-horse race between Wadi Al Hattawi, Cannock Chase and Tashaar. Only two favourites have won in the last ten runnings. Is this enough to lay the clear favourite in this race? We will have two other apparently equally as good horses in ready opposition. That is my only angle here.

I hope you find these previews useful and profitable.

I’m off now to tell everyone I backed Japan against South Africa! Have a great weekend.