For the uninitiated, dobbing, or double or bust, is a technique to profit from the price movement of a horse between its pre-race price and price in the in-play market, once the race is under way. In an ideal world, dobbers look to profit from a 50% or bigger drop in the odds.
I thought I would look at profiting from pre-race backing and in-play laying from a different perspective.
Inspired by a WRWM reader’s queries, I thought I would look at the performance of favourites in all horse races in the UK and Ireland over the last 10 years , when the favourite’s odds hit 1.25 decimal in-play.
Laying favourites in UK and Irish horse races when their odds hit 1.25 in running has turned a 540 points profit to level stakes. There are, as you can imagine, an awful lot of 2nd placed favourites.
Let’s dig a little deeper.
2 mile races. 6 and 7 furlong races and 2 mile and 4 furlong races are the best performers in terms of laying favourites when their odds hit 1.25 in running.
Kempton, Wolverhampton and Lingfield lead the charge in terms of profit ( perfect timing with the Winter All-weather program seeing the light of day once September greets us.
Handicap and Hurdle races are clearly the biggest profit makers for layers , contrasting with the focus on all-weather above.
6-8 runner fields are best for profits.
I’m going to experiment on this on your behalf using automated and conditional betting software to see if the stats are accurate.