I normally run a mile when the word ‘friendly’ is inserted into the title of a match.
I introduced you to www.soccerway.com last week, and it can be used in international friendlies. You see some teams actually use these matches wisely it would seem, and take them seriously.
Other teams’ results are far more sporadic.
Where you find an international team, focus on their friendlies only. Do take a look at this blog post and in particular matches such as Germany’s against France and Italy’s against USA. Some of the international friendlies have real patterns as you can see.
The great “value” debate
You’ll no doubt of heard about the concept of value and betting. Well why not create your own value? I was reminded of this after I backed Andy Murray in the first round of the Dubai Tennis, a 1.03 shot, at 1.75.
Similarly, I managed to back Novak Djokovic, at odds of 1.75, when he was 1.01 pre match (put on £100 to win £1). I backed Novak in the 2-0 set betting market at 1.75 when he was 1-3 down in the 2nd set. He won that set 6-3!
I layed Cardiff at shorter odds than they were pre-match in the Carling Cup. How? I simply layed them after they scored first!
And on the subject of friendlies, how about backing Australia at home 0-1 down to Saudi Arabia, a team they had already beaten 3-1 in a very recent encounter?
Or how about backing Spain at better offs after half an hour of their home friendly against Venezuela recently?
They won 5-0 eventually.
It’s all comes down to enhanced betting - this is a superb way to create value. And you should switch on your ‘value seeking radar’ daily. Make a list of short priced football matches, tennis matches, rugby matches (Italy 12, England 6 in a recent match which England eventually won).
In tennis it’s always the world’s top 10 I focus on. Murray is a great one for these as he tends to play tennis at times, like an, ahem, 41 year old couch potato not a million miles from this keyboard.
And you see the Cardiff v Liverpool match? Liverpool must have an outstanding chance of gaining parity if conceding first, particularly when that goal conceded came so early.
These opportunities for value creators are everywhere every day. So the teams/players must be those expected to win comfortably (1st round tennis, lower league v Premiership etc) and we switch on our radar and wait for a slip up. Try it! And you’ll be backing 1/100 shots at nearly evens!
Rabbits! Rabbits! Rabbits!
March, I know it well! It’s my birthday month and also the time I do a bit of spring cleaning systems on trial and personal home-grown systems - to sift out those not quite profiting, and keeping the long term best performers for another month.
A new month also means new systems. I begin my trial of racing synergy from www.bettingautomation.com this weekend. It looks very interesting and is software using the bookmakers and Betfair markets as comparators in order to find value (that word again!).
www.riskfreeprofitclub.com is still on my radar. My payment did not go through last week, so in the interim I emailed the man behind the service, asking for proof of guaranteed £5000 profits. He did not reply to that question, but sent, instead, a reminder for me to send him £149!
What I have figured out is that this is “bonus bagging” to start with ( see www.onlineloopholes.com for a superior paid for bonus bagging service, or www.bet72.com for a free, but still quality, introduction to bookie bonuses).
I get the feeling with the risk free profit club that there will be nothing new, I hope I am wrong.
Green Screens & Horses
I am all too familiar with green screens (creating a profit on the betting exchanges on all outcomes, regardless of the result) and Kachina Racing (www.kachinaracing.co.uk) are releasing a book on how to create risk free profits on the horse racing on 11th March (just 2 days, cough cough, before my birthday). This is something I am keen to pursue. Imagine being able to create risk-free profits on horse races time and again. I have applied for the book and will report back.
I have toyed with green screens and horses in the past but not really had any consistency. Will this book change all that?
I’m off now to prepare for another birthday and the inevitable new wardrobe purchases for my ever-expanding waistline!
by Clive Keeling
Betting & Gambling Expert
Clive Keeling is the editor of What Really Wins Money trying and testing the latest betting systems, tipsters and strategies. You can sign up for his free weekly eletter here:
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